QUOTE(TrashCleaner @ Dec 1 2006, 02:16 PM) [snapback]2532829[/snapback]
I read official statistics sometimes ago (cant remember where, i may look it up later), where they plot they growth over 15 years or so of india, china, etc. And im quite sure that vietnam's growth is always (or most of the times) higher than india, sometimes by a large margin.
I think that other countries in asia may not grow consistently like vietnam. When you take the average growth over 20 years or so, vietnam's growth is somewhere 7%, if im not mistaken.
I think vietnam's growth will consistently be over and around 8% in the next 5 years. If we can fight corruption effectively (like what the PM promised), i think the 10% mark is within our reach.
The problem with Vietnam is that although most major cities grow with a rate of 10+% for a long time now but the remote, moutainous regions grow so slowly, so the average is reduced. Plus, the infrastructure is bad, so it could be difficult to boost the economy of remote regions.
pass 20 years china's growth is somewhere around 10%