QUOTE (Bijou @ Oct 5 2009, 12:26 AM)

First, coorperation needs trust from both parties. We dont trust the commies, they dont trust us either.
Yet, many are investing into Vietnam and that is helping Vietnam far more than cutting them off. Look what isolation have done for Burma, North Korea, and Cuba. The Burma example is especially telling, their isolation did not made the government collapse, it just force them to make the deal with devil and made the people suffer worse. North Korea and Cuba shows that even though those countries really fell on hard times (especially NK), they still won't break.
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Second, the Eastern Europe's communist countries just collapsed by themselves since their peole were aware of democracy.
Eastern Europe did not collapsed by themselves. Glasnost, organized groups, and the worst economics economic conditions in the last years of Communist Eastern Europe is what broke those. China had Tiananmen Square, but the government choose to send the tanks in rather than bow to the demands as Eastern Europe (followed by tight media controls an organized opposition breaking, while Eastern Europe allowed them to continue to talk openly and allowed the media to exposed many serious scandals). North Korea just hid behind the army and isolation and let the people starve during the 90's. China and Vietnam, while unfortunately did not did the examples of Eastern Europe of Glasnost and allowed groups to form, fortunately, they did performed economic reforms that allowed both to grow as they are today.
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Third, the Viet Congs would not go backward to be like Burma or N. Korea because they have tasted the flavor of $$$. Now, for them going back to the ugly old days is just like getting away from the all-you-can-eat buffet that they're enjoying. Ngủ giường nệm quen rồi, bây giờ ngủ dưới đất chịu sao nỗi?
I don't see what you mean by this statement. I think you misunderstood something I said.
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Anh John -- I too worry about that. I do see some hope though. I won't be surprised (and I'm betting) by that 2020, Saigon and Hanoi will be about where you want to be and you won't have to be gray and old. Hopefully, that's won't be too long for you or for your kids. However, Vietnam the rest of Vietnam will still got a ways to go.
For the Asian tigers, it took 25 years of constant, blistering paced growth. ( A small citation:
It's pretty interesting. However, Vietnam did start it path of growth till 1986 rather than 1965. Even with the opening, it only since the late 90's that it really begun to take over. Of course, there's some other major differences, namely Vietnam have far more people to uplift than the city-state Singapore or Hong Kong. Taiwan is tiny comparatively and even South Korea is still much smaller. However, what this means that we might see more of what we see in China. Disparity with parts of the country looking like first world and others still third world.
Democracy will take longer unfortunately, but standard of living will continue to improve in the mean time.
kaosq -- I sense sarcasm in your words, I do not appreciate it.